https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zlftT3MHf7A

In this video, I break down my $11,300 red day and the critical mistake that cost me thousands. After 29 days of strong trading, I got caught fighting the New York VWAP on a second NQ trade—and here's exactly what I should have done instead.

📊 ASFX MORNING BRIEF — Tuesday, Sept 8, 2026

FUTURES (pre-market)

Dow: -389 (-0.73%) → 53,051

S&P 500: -19.25 (-0.25%) → 7,702

Nasdaq: +21.25 (+0.07%) → 29,586

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

- Oil spiking — Brent ~$98-99, WTI ~$94, after Saudi energy facility ops halted following Houthi attacks. 3rd straight day of gains.

- Yields elevated — 10-yr at 4.80%, 30-yr at 5.27%. Friday's jobs report (+162K, ~3x expected) muddied the Fed rate-cut outlook.

- Pharma weak — Novartis -12% on failed drug studies, dragging AMGN/LLY/IONS/DYN/SRPT.

- U.S.-Canada trade tension also weighing on sentiment.

ECON CALENDAR (ET)

6:00 AM — NFIB Small Business Optimism: 98.7 (miss vs 99.3 est.)

12:15 PM — ADP Employment Change (weekly)

1:00 PM — Treasury 3-yr note auction

3:00 PM — Consumer Inflation Expectations

3:30-5:00 PM — Bill/note auctions

7:00 PM — Consumer Credit Change

EARNINGS

Before open: ABM, CAN, UNFI, WDH

After close: GME, CASY, BRZE

THE READ

Quiet data day until the afternoon auctions — oil/geopolitics is the live wire. Watch for headline-driven vol spikes rather than a clean data-driven session.

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TODAY'S EVENTS

• 8:30 AM ET: Initial Jobless Claims (consensus 205k vs. 203k prior)

• 8:30 AM ET: US Trade Balance July (expected -$71.2B)

• 10:00 AM ET: ISM Services PMI

• 12:30 PM ET: Fed Waller Speech

NFP TOMORROW = THE HEADLINE

• Friday 8:30 AM: August Nonfarm Payrolls (CRITICAL)

• Consensus: 58k | July was -23k (miss)

• Unemployment: Expected 4.1% (hold)

• Wage growth: 3.0% YoY (cooling)

• Market impact: Low conviction moves today. Real action after Friday.

NVDA / TECH BACKDROP

• NVDA reported Aug 26: $96.2B revenue (beat $92.3B), EPS $2.22 (beat $2.09)

• Stock jumped 9%, now -1.07% premarket (profit-taking)

• Guidance: 70% FY28 growth (vs. 45% Street consensus) | Memory cost headwind on gross margin

• NQ's weak bounce reflects tech sector caution despite beat

MARKET TONE

• Light volume, bid support from oil selloff + bond yields down

• No conviction moves before NFP Friday

• Double Break longs: Valid on VWAP + opening range breaks above support

• Double Break shorts: Valid off 29,368 or Friday high if 29K fails

• Position sizing: Reflects macro risk. This is NOT a conviction day.

QUICK SETUP

• NQ holds 29K → 29,368 is resistance → Test Friday high 29,811

• ES holds 7,680 → Eyes 7,750+

• If support fails → No lower targets until after NFP

• Oil ease supporting, but positioning is cautious

https://youtu.be/_OgYjiIX1hw 

In this breakdown, I explain why the pure double break signal is MORE reliable than layering value area location on top of it.

See real trade examples from Monday through Thursday showing how he missed easy wins by overanalyzing, but also how NOT getting cooked is more important than chasing every signal.

Plus: how options trading on Vanquish kept me profitable when futures got choppy.

LAST CALL - End of August means end of all 3 of these promos!! 

Save 55% at Top One Futures - code ASFX - https://www.asfx.biz/tof

VTC Indicator 50% off code ASFX50 - https://www.asfx.biz/indicator

Group Coaching Program - https://asfx.biz/bsc/

Extra giveaways on stream tomorrow - don't be late!! 

Quick heads up — we have 3 big promos running right now 👇

1. Black Shirt Club — Last Chance
Enrollment for BSC closes August 31st. If you’ve been thinking about getting into the mentorship, this is the final week to apply.

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2. Top One Futures — $3,000 Cash Giveaway
Use code ASFX on any purchase this month and you’re entered to win. That also saves you 55% on any account. 60% if you buy 5 or more. 

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Lifetime access to the VTC Indicator is currently 50% off — $748 through August 31st.

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A lot happening this week, so make sure you take advantage of anything you’ve been waiting on before the month ends.

Today's Gameplan

Watch the value areas closely. ES 7730 is going to be a beautiful retest level for shorts — don't chase rallies into resistance here. That's where we want to be selling into strength, not buying breakouts.

Key levels to lock in:

• VAL: 7729

• VAH: 7758

The spread is tight, so keep your stops tight too. We're looking for mean reversion plays, not breakouts.

Quick housekeeping:

1️⃣ TopOneFutures 55% OFF — Code ASFX gets you in the door. This runs through end of month, and here's the kicker: every entry you make is a chance to win $1K cash in our runs. That's free money on the table. https://www.asfx.biz/tof

2️⃣ VTC Indicator — Lifetime Sale Still Live at 50% OFF. If you've been sitting on this, now's the time. https://www.asfx.biz/indicator

3️⃣ Black Shirt Club Applications — We're closing doors on new members starting September 1st. If you've been thinking about it, get your application in at https://asfx.biz/bsc/ before we lock it down.

Let's get after it today. See you on stream.

https://youtu.be/wM30v2bGo3g

Last week was brutal—I nearly broke even after starting up $5K, then watching it slip away.

Watch the full breakdown of every trade I took across ES, NQ, and YM, including the two catastrophic mistakes that almost derailed my month, plus the exact rules I broke and how to avoid the same losses.

https://youtu.be/KnUi6ZJWJ-s 

Learn how to use TradeSyncer in this complete TradeSyncer tutorial and setup for futures traders.

🔄 TradeSyncer, Free Trial & 30% off w/ code ASFX 🔗 https://www.asfx.biz/ts

I’ll show you how I use TradeSyncer copy trading to manage 18 accounts across multiple prop firms, set account multipliers, manage risk, flatten positions, and track performance. If you’re looking for the best copy trader for futures or a copy trader for prop firms, this TradeSyncer review will show you how the platform works and how I use it to scale.